- Home
Edition
Africa Australia Brasil Canada Canada (français) Català España Europe France Global Indonesia New Zealand United Kingdom United States Skip to content
Edition:
Global
- Africa
- Australia
- Brasil
- Canada
- Canada (français)
- Català
- España
- Europe
- France
- Indonesia
- New Zealand
- United Kingdom
- United States
Academic rigour, journalistic flair
GIF
Julia Demaree Nikhinson/AP, Shawn Thew/EPA, Yuri Gripas/EPA, The Conversation
The market moves before Trump posts
Published: June 10, 2026 12.22am BST
https://theconversation.com/the-market-moves-before-trump-posts-281727
https://theconversation.com/the-market-moves-before-trump-posts-281727
Link copied
Share article
Share article
Copy link Email Bluesky Facebook WhatsApp Messenger LinkedIn X (Twitter)Print article
It has long been the case that when a US President speaks, financial markets react.
But recently oil markets have been behaving a bit differently: sometimes the stock price moves before Trump posts. Millions of dollars are changing hands with some traders seeming to have made incredibly well-timed bets. Did some of them know something the rest of the market didn’t?
@realDonaldTrump made 1,341 Truth Social posts from January 25 to April 8. Our analysis of that 73-day window reveals 15 distinct events with unusual trading activity around Trump’s posts. In several of those events — including the most striking ones — the price had already moved sharply in the minutes before he posted.
➡️ Read the interactive story here
- Oil
- Oil Market
- Donald Trump
- US-Iran conflict
Authors
-
Timothy Graham
Associate Professor in Digital Media, Queensland University of Technology
-
Ella Chorazy
Senior Research Associate, Queensland University of Technology
-
Stephen Harrington
Associate Professor, School of Communication, Queensland University of Technology
Disclosure statement
Timothy Graham receives funding from the Australian Research Council for the Discovery Project "Understanding and Combatting 'Dark Political Communication'", from the Universities Australia-German Academic Exchange Service Joint Research Cooperation Scheme, and from Meta Platforms Technologies.
Ella Chorazy receives funding from the Australian Research Council (ARC), for the Discovery Project 'Understanding and Combatting "Dark Political Communication"'.
Stephen Harrington receives funding from the Australian Research Council, for the Discovery Project 'Understanding and Combatting "Dark Political Communication"', and for the Discovery Project "Understanding Twenty-First Century Media Uses and Purposes".
Partners
Queensland University of Technology provides funding as a member of The Conversation AU.
View all partners
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64628/AA.fvqxv9yyj
Events
Jobs
-
Senior Clinical Research Scientist (Neurophysiologist)
-
Deputy Editor, Arts and Culture
-
Forensicare Postdoctoral Research Fellow/Research Fellow
-
Police Cadet, South Australia Police
- Editorial Policies
- Community standards
- Republishing guidelines
- Analytics
- Our feeds
- Get newsletter
- Who we are
- Our charter
- Our team
- Partners and funders
- Resource for media
- Contact us
-
-
-
-
Copyright © 2010–2026, The Conversation